TV: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX
Tampa Bay by 8.5; O/U: 46
With the spread being over a touchdown but under 10, it’s a tricky one. Do you just lay the points with the team you’re confident will win in the Bucs? Or take a shot with an underdog from Philly (hey, that script sounds familiar) that is playing with house money and doesn’t need to win for you to win? The safer play is to back Tom Brady and Tampa Bay, which went 7-1 at home. The Bucs also won at Philadelphia, a misleading 28-22 final after they dominated in taking a 28-7 lead. The Eagles went 0-6 against playoff teams. They’re a run-first team, but the Bucs’ defense ranked third against the run. This is a bad matchup for the Eagles.
The pick: Tampa Bay
The score: Tampa Bay 34, Philadelphia 23